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WAVE

Wavecrest
Elysium Testnet · 99801Simulated launch · Wash-traded volume0x6c91c4…2f0e6dverified against replica B (simulated) 52s agoblock 10,348,000
Verifier
100est. score
staker verdict
GO
  • All 5 rules pass on verified evidence against the estimated thresholds.
Estimate based on public Ascend criteria (config 2026.10-estimate.1). Not an official Ascend decision. Digest ab89bcda6f5707ce…
Raw holders171
Effective holders171
100% of raw holders are independent
Market cap
$427k
price × (supply − burn)
Organic vol / day
$13.8k
time-weighted, 7d
Top-10 share
31%
Inflated volume
79%
Plain-language summary

WAVE clears every rule for the staker view on verified evidence. 171 raw holders resolve to 171 effective holders. All 5 rules pass on verified evidence against the estimated thresholds.

Commentary is advisory. It can downgrade a verdict to WAIT or NO-GO but can never upgrade one; verdicts come from deterministic, versioned rules.

Score breakdown

Every rule, every number.

Thresholds live in a versioned config, are shown here, and are labelled estimates. Hard rules decide No-go on their own.

RuleMeasuredEstimated barFitStatus
Market capitalization
growth · weight 15%
$427k>= $250k
Pass
Effective holders
growth · weight 20%
171>= 150
Pass
Effective / raw holders
integrity · weight 15%
1.00>= 0.75
hard < 0.50
Pass
Top-10 holder share
integrity · weight 10%
31.4%<= 45.0%
hard > 80.0%
Pass
Top-1 holder share
integrity · weight 5%
6.3%<= 10.0%
hard > 25.0%
Pass

Holder concentration

Ascend checks for concentrated accumulation.

Top 1
6.3%
Top 5
20.5%
Top 10
31.4%
HHI
0.017
Gini
0.58
Holders
171
  1. 1
    0xfb0e…87ef
    6.3%
  2. 2
    0xf9ab…de7f
    4.9%
  3. 3
    0xeb35…c8ea
    3.2%
  4. 4
    0x9891…6fb3
    3.1%
  5. 5
    0x0dee…1624
    3.0%
  6. 6
    0x0bfb…a8fd
    2.4%
  7. 7
    0xf8ee…b2c0
    2.3%
  8. 8
    0xe8f7…645f
    2.2%
  9. 9
    0xe5e2…de07
    2.1%
  10. 10
    0xbb0c…b1c5
    2.0%

Share of circulating supply. Pool and burn addresses are excluded.

Linked wallets

Wallets whose first funding traces to the same source, merged into effective holders.

C1: 6 wallets linked by funding source (root 0x3eea…1bfd, 1 hop)C1 · 6C2: 6 wallets linked by funding source (root 0xd0cc…6c32, 1 hop)C2 · 6171 independent holders
Wallets linked by funding source (one operator pattern)Independent holders12 wallets also show round-trip flow

Volume per unique wallet

Total volume split into organic and inflated, with volume per effective wallet over time. Time-weighted organic volume: $13.8k per day.

$0$47.6k$95.2kDay 1: $95.2k total · $59.9k inflated · 47 effective holders1Day 2: $63.2k total · $45.6k inflated · 68 effective holders2Day 3: $91.5k total · $76.5k inflated · 87 effective holders3Day 4: $75.9k total · $69.2k inflated · 95 effective holders4Day 5: $94.2k total · $75.4k inflated · 107 effective holders5Day 6: $94.3k total · $76.6k inflated · 117 effective holders6Day 7: $76.4k total · $69.1k inflated · 122 effective holders7Day 8: $55.9k total · $40.7k inflated · 130 effective holders8Day 9: $70.2k total · $59.3k inflated · 134 effective holders9Day 10: $93.5k total · $80.1k inflated · 143 effective holders10Day 11: $77.9k total · $61.2k inflated · 147 effective holders11Day 12: $78.4k total · $62.4k inflated · 155 effective holders12Day 13: $67.5k total · $55.1k inflated · 160 effective holders13Day 14: $86.9k total · $57.9k inflated · 170 effective holders14Day 15: $0 total · $0 inflated · 170 effective holders15
Organic volumeInflated (wash or coordinated wallets)Volume per effective wallet (peak $750)
Evidence

Published findings and receipts.

Open any finding to see the facts it cites and a copy-paste command that reproduces each one from chain state.

  • Holder concentration
    Top-1 holds 6.3%, top-10 hold 31.4% of circulating supply across 171 holders (pool and burn excluded).
    published
    Finding fnd_c6344e579d1813 cited factsdigest de58d4a452a9…JSON
    FactBlockReferenceRe-fetched
    call10,348,0000x18160ddd…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    call10,348,0000x70a08231…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    call10,348,0000x70a08231…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    call10,348,0000x70a08231…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    call10,348,0000x70a08231…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    call10,348,0000x70a08231…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    call10,348,0000x70a08231…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    call10,348,0000x70a08231…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    call10,348,0000x70a08231…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    call10,348,0000x70a08231…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    call10,348,0000x70a08231…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    call10,348,0000x70a08231…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    call10,348,0000x70a08231…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
  • Funding-source clusters
    12 wallets fall into 2 groups linked by a shared funding source within 2 hops.
    published
    Finding fnd_52dbc3e0771c11 cited factsdigest 4a86f9b15cfc…JSON
    FactBlockReferenceRe-fetched
    call10,348,0000x18160ddd…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    tx4,334,9180x77db9467…0d55da23identicalsimulated
    tx3,971,3810x80150fae…a63f670eidenticalsimulated
    tx4,194,3580x17bb7dfd…5ec44784identicalsimulated
    tx3,941,3580x53bc114a…f452043didenticalsimulated
    tx4,453,7230xc18bf8e1…83f97157identicalsimulated
    tx4,004,4330x48bf5840…2a413dd3identicalsimulated
    tx3,939,9450xc48e9dc3…3943edc7identicalsimulated
    tx3,857,0240x257b9085…f461acb8identicalsimulated
    tx3,976,2910x822d00d0…e23e28a1identicalsimulated
    tx4,261,4540x942701d0…f2ccbda6identicalsimulated
  • Same-block entry
    No synchronized same-block entry batches detected.
    published
    Finding fnd_6e500405c2d71 cited factsdigest 40c2f91b801c…JSON
    FactBlockReferenceRe-fetched
    call10,348,0000x18160ddd…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
  • Wash loops and round trips
    12 wallets show round-trip or cyclic flow with near-zero net position, accounting for 79.3% of volume.
    published
    Finding fnd_1ce38a34582219 cited factsdigest 1c93d04a1c7c…JSON
    FactBlockReferenceRe-fetched
    call10,348,0000x18160ddd…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    log4,462,2140x1ba1b391…de013050identicalsimulated
    log7,023,2020xb5b7c027…b04a55e5identicalsimulated
    log5,042,4280x71074f36…3c128d1didenticalsimulated
    log7,225,5160x41430fa4…0a2026caidenticalsimulated
    log4,500,0440xfdfbb7ec…4f5d6402identicalsimulated
    log7,492,3590xf841b7b3…f1ac9aacidenticalsimulated
    log4,618,4690xbcc4d432…371302f3identicalsimulated
    log7,205,6670xfa3ca6e3…a014f3b7identicalsimulated
    log4,468,9340xf3118f55…6d2682baidenticalsimulated
    log7,502,2160xe54d6f0b…62598fb8identicalsimulated
    log4,471,7420x77119fde…f350d438identicalsimulated
    log7,979,7080x2039ee63…12e61df3identicalsimulated
    log5,695,3860xb1d3283a…a9aced41identicalsimulated
    log5,695,4360x29785f00…b347bdc3identicalsimulated
    log6,499,8190xdc6cf47a…365c5507identicalsimulated
    log9,049,7920xef6803c9…420e18ddidenticalsimulated
    log9,105,3270x0bd31d28…a8cde19eidenticalsimulated
    log9,778,8110x30cc6f26…760a15f3identicalsimulated
  • Effective holders
    171 raw holders collapse to 171 effective holders after merging linked wallets.
    published
    Finding fnd_a9248fa8c95015 cited factsdigest b3e24c7e2b9c…JSON
    FactBlockReferenceRe-fetched
    call10,348,0000x18160ddd…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    tx4,334,9180x77db9467…0d55da23identicalsimulated
    tx3,971,3810x80150fae…a63f670eidenticalsimulated
    tx4,194,3580x17bb7dfd…5ec44784identicalsimulated
    tx3,941,3580x53bc114a…f452043didenticalsimulated
    tx4,453,7230xc18bf8e1…83f97157identicalsimulated
    tx4,004,4330x48bf5840…2a413dd3identicalsimulated
    tx3,939,9450xc48e9dc3…3943edc7identicalsimulated
    log4,462,2140x1ba1b391…de013050identicalsimulated
    log7,023,2020xb5b7c027…b04a55e5identicalsimulated
    log5,042,4280x71074f36…3c128d1didenticalsimulated
    log7,225,5160x41430fa4…0a2026caidenticalsimulated
    log4,500,0440xfdfbb7ec…4f5d6402identicalsimulated
    log7,492,3590xf841b7b3…f1ac9aacidenticalsimulated
    log4,618,4690xbcc4d432…371302f3identicalsimulated
  • Volume per unique wallet
    $1,120,844 traded; 79.3% attributable to wash or coordinated wallets. Time-weighted organic volume: $13,826/day.
    published
    Finding fnd_1e1dc29764a911 cited factsdigest 3788a4476220…JSON
    FactBlockReferenceRe-fetched
    call10,348,0000x18160ddd…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    log4,430,6380xcaa0c156…27750e04identicalsimulated
    log6,135,4340xf90c0cc8…f3b90718identicalsimulated
    log6,586,2270x8ba99fa8…2d78f961identicalsimulated
    log7,485,3520x7c2928b0…ad7d9f8aidenticalsimulated
    log10,246,6460xdc289cd9…3d08e274identicalsimulated
    log8,806,1620x71c0b27d…7b037116identicalsimulated
    log6,774,9670xcfd63ba1…23eb9010identicalsimulated
    log4,599,6400x6e6adfcd…a2293c38identicalsimulated
    log6,417,5150xe4ca7718…bc0a384eidenticalsimulated
    log5,282,6890x0266e2b0…303a9f47identicalsimulated
  • Market capitalization
    Median of last 5 swaps prices the token at $0.000431; market cap ≈ $426,954.
    published
    Finding fnd_496919d44e237 cited factsdigest 1a961322e0f5…JSON
    FactBlockReferenceRe-fetched
    call10,348,0000x18160ddd…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    call10,348,0000x70a08231…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    log10,329,7230x37ed73a7…016ee08bidenticalsimulated
    log10,335,1050xdfb0f43f…fdb950eeidenticalsimulated
    log10,340,6410x7c10611b…e712561didenticalsimulated
    log10,341,1360xb114d29f…85da8697identicalsimulated
    log10,342,3270xbda3e620…7f0cc75aidenticalsimulated
Withheld

Claims we did not publish.

Findings that failed verification are listed openly, with the reason, instead of being quietly dropped.

  • Wallet age and activity
    8.2% of holders are fresh wallets (≤3 lifetime transactions, funded shortly before first buy).
    withheld
    Withheld. 3 of 22 cited facts did not re-fetch identically. First mismatch: nonce(0x112e664c…)@10348000 — indexer 0x3 vs verifier 0x2. Likely stale indexer cache or a reorg; the claim is withheld until it re-indexes.
    Finding fnd_6dba9411cf1d22 cited factsdigest f85cbf011b7b…JSON
    FactBlockReferenceRe-fetched
    call10,348,0000x18160ddd…(0x6c91…0e6d)identicalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000x112e66…252036mismatchsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000x159613…4a8da8mismatchsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000x1cd937…8fecb8mismatchsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000x371ade…9d212cidenticalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000x46dfee…f8e845identicalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000x5c3960…9a7156identicalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000x714066…26861didenticalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000x76bb58…bd612eidenticalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000x8b6471…3e1eb5identicalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000x8f2a38…05bf75identicalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000x993b53…47327bidenticalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000xa127a1…4d659aidenticalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000xc21c88…00bdc0identicalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000xf097f0…f1523fidenticalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000x027c48…dc892fidenticalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000x1efd9c…359691identicalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000x3fd43b…fd59a0identicalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000x653895…517626identicalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000x879189…10befaidenticalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000xb0fa9e…2bfbe0identicalsimulated
    nonce10,348,0000xd839cf…054d00identicalsimulated
Back-test

Planted versus found.

The pattern in this mock launch was planted by us, so the answer is known. Ascertain never sees it.

Raw holders
171planted 171
exact match
Effective holders
171planted 171
exact match
Linked groups
2planted 2
exact match
Wash wallets
12planted 12
exact match

Injected for demonstration: Indexer cached outdated transaction counts for 3 wallets (still classed fresh, but the receipts no longer match chain state).

Creator view

Lifecycle tracker and revenue planner

See where this token sits across Launch, Ascended, HyperCore spot and HIP-3, what is known and unknown at each stage, and model creator fee revenue and a listing reserve.

Open creator dashboard
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