MIRT
Mirage Testnet- Hard rule failed: Effective / raw holders is 0.16 (>= 0.75 required; hard limit 0.50).
- Needs +21 (now 9, estimated bar 30).
- Hard rule. Only 0.16 of raw holders are independent. Adding more linked wallets cannot fix this; only genuinely distinct holders can. Bar: 0.75.
- Reduce by 1.0 pts (now 11.0%, estimated limit 10.0%).
MIRT fails at least one hard integrity rule. 56 raw holders resolve to 9 effective holders. Hard rule failed: Effective / raw holders is 0.16 (>= 0.75 required; hard limit 0.50).
Commentary is advisory. It can downgrade a verdict to WAIT or NO-GO but can never upgrade one; verdicts come from deterministic, versioned rules.
Every rule, every number.
Thresholds live in a versioned config, are shown here, and are labelled estimates. Hard rules decide No-go on their own.
| Rule | Measured | Estimated bar | Fit | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Market capitalization growth · weight 15% | $400k | >= $25.0k | Pass | |
Effective holders growth · weight 20% | 9 | >= 30 | Below bar | |
Effective / raw holders integrity · weight 15% | 0.16 | >= 0.75 hard < 0.50 | Hard fail | |
Top-10 holder share integrity · weight 10% | 41.9% | <= 45.0% hard > 80.0% | Pass | |
Top-1 holder share integrity · weight 5% | 11.0% | <= 10.0% hard > 25.0% | Below bar |
Holder concentration
Ascend checks for concentrated accumulation.
- 10x4cf0…a3c611.0%
- 20x7bee…08d49.4%
- 30x1fa9…da0c6.3%
- 40x9556…32af4.5%
- 50xbc3f…bb6e2.6%
- 60xad8f…a22a1.7%
- 70xa777…4f3d1.6%
- 80xb28b…308f1.6%
- 90x6c89…5ecd1.6%
- 100xd3c0…460c1.6%
Share of circulating supply. Pool and burn addresses are excluded.
Linked wallets
Wallets whose first funding traces to the same source, merged into effective holders.
Volume per unique wallet
Total volume split into organic and inflated, with volume per effective wallet over time. Time-weighted organic volume: $1.8k per day.
Published findings and receipts.
Open any finding to see the facts it cites and a copy-paste command that reproduces each one from chain state.
- Holder concentrationTop-1 holds 11.0%, top-10 hold 41.9% of circulating supply across 56 holders (pool and burn excluded).published
Fact Block Reference Re-fetched call 6,809,747 0x18160ddd…(0x1b22…a580) identical call 6,809,747 0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580) identical call 6,809,747 0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580) identical call 6,809,747 0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580) identical call 6,809,747 0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580) identical call 6,809,747 0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580) identical call 6,809,747 0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580) identical call 6,809,747 0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580) identical call 6,809,747 0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580) identical call 6,809,747 0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580) identical call 6,809,747 0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580) identical call 6,809,747 0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580) identical call 6,809,747 0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580) identical - Funding-source clusters50 wallets fall into 3 groups linked by a shared funding source within 2 hops.published
Fact Block Reference Re-fetched call 6,809,747 0x18160ddd…(0x1b22…a580) identical tx 6,808,371 0xe4d54889…9d8dc8d2 identical tx 6,808,234 0x7bc05f8a…52b31b1d identical tx 6,808,297 0xc84deaad…1b663b03 identical tx 6,808,228 0xae322d2d…73cd3bcd identical tx 6,808,388 0x047a58e4…47c7bf0d identical tx 6,808,326 0x3fab85a0…50ec0167 identical tx 6,808,246 0x46d677cd…2c585251 identical tx 6,808,349 0x0d7b0bef…10702ffc identical tx 6,808,240 0xf5be0334…34c00bae identical tx 6,808,392 0xa3ffadd8…1bdbe5bb identical tx 6,808,318 0xdb127549…cfa9cc89 identical tx 6,808,255 0x64a1a0f5…919dcbc8 identical tx 6,808,352 0x15c8c000…4f7de94f identical tx 6,808,408 0xa963e93b…0acefbf7 identical - Same-block entryNo synchronized same-block entry batches detected.published
Fact Block Reference Re-fetched call 6,809,747 0x18160ddd…(0x1b22…a580) identical - Wash loops and round tripsNo round-trip or cyclic wallet flows detected.published
Fact Block Reference Re-fetched call 6,809,747 0x18160ddd…(0x1b22…a580) identical - Wallet age and activity89.3% of holders are fresh wallets (≤3 lifetime transactions, funded shortly before first buy).published
Fact Block Reference Re-fetched call 6,809,747 0x18160ddd…(0x1b22…a580) identical nonce 6,809,747 0x0973f8…72cf05 identical nonce 6,809,747 0x199b8d…6a37be identical nonce 6,809,747 0x3dc704…199a9f identical nonce 6,809,747 0x45f684…9ab1e7 identical nonce 6,809,747 0x4be248…2370fd identical nonce 6,809,747 0x5570a3…2fad04 identical nonce 6,809,747 0x605871…39f566 identical nonce 6,809,747 0x691f97…7cfc98 identical nonce 6,809,747 0x6fe7ed…df4880 identical nonce 6,809,747 0x7a51f8…687137 identical nonce 6,809,747 0x925f37…335054 identical nonce 6,809,747 0xa0e447…a1b40c identical nonce 6,809,747 0xb1c25e…2dedb1 identical nonce 6,809,747 0xb5eea4…e025c1 identical nonce 6,809,747 0xd1bd96…9b4939 identical nonce 6,809,747 0xe56186…b2aab9 identical nonce 6,809,747 0x1fa997…9dda0c identical nonce 6,809,747 0x4cf0c7…6ba3c6 identical nonce 6,809,747 0x7beeea…c608d4 identical nonce 6,809,747 0x9556c8…ed32af identical nonce 6,809,747 0xad8f83…41a22a identical nonce 6,809,747 0xbc3f6a…7cbb6e identical - Effective holders56 raw holders collapse to 9 effective holders after merging linked wallets.published
Fact Block Reference Re-fetched call 6,809,747 0x18160ddd…(0x1b22…a580) identical tx 6,808,371 0xe4d54889…9d8dc8d2 identical tx 6,808,234 0x7bc05f8a…52b31b1d identical tx 6,808,297 0xc84deaad…1b663b03 identical tx 6,808,228 0xae322d2d…73cd3bcd identical tx 6,808,388 0x047a58e4…47c7bf0d identical tx 6,808,326 0x3fab85a0…50ec0167 identical tx 6,808,246 0x46d677cd…2c585251 identical - Volume per unique wallet$4,585 traded; 60.6% attributable to wash or coordinated wallets. Time-weighted organic volume: $1,805/day.published
Fact Block Reference Re-fetched call 6,809,747 0x18160ddd…(0x1b22…a580) identical log 6,809,178 0xd1e2dc7d…8414cc2f identical log 6,809,221 0xd10d3f06…2a6fbd78 identical log 6,809,229 0xd7f0e50b…e2f96dbd identical log 6,809,186 0xd376d16c…3aadfce2 identical log 6,809,746 0x9726409c…923d0075 identical log 6,809,213 0x85913306…9ee1eb7e identical log 6,809,195 0x654561f3…1fb5584d identical log 6,809,682 0x30e7c2ac…64c90171 identical log 6,809,272 0x335aa9ce…4a5893cd identical log 6,809,663 0x2d904ea4…8d0e952b identical - Market capitalizationMedian of last 5 swaps prices the token at $0.000400; market cap ≈ $400,000.published
Fact Block Reference Re-fetched call 6,809,747 0x18160ddd…(0x1b22…a580) identical call 6,809,747 0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580) identical log 6,809,673 0x8c9d4adb…925456c8 identical log 6,809,682 0x30e7c2ac…64c90171 identical log 6,809,690 0x34f0d38f…ee29f252 identical log 6,809,739 0x23c80016…685dc810 identical log 6,809,746 0x9726409c…923d0075 identical
Claims we did not publish.
Findings that failed verification are listed openly, with the reason, instead of being quietly dropped.
Planted versus found.
The pattern in this mock launch was planted by us, so the answer is known. Ascertain never sees it.
Lifecycle tracker and revenue planner
See where this token sits across Launch, Ascended, HyperCore spot and HIP-3, what is known and unknown at each stage, and model creator fee revenue and a listing reserve.
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