MIRT

Mirage Testnet

Elysium Testnet · 99801On-chain mock launch · Elysium testnet · Clustered holdersExplorer ↗0x1b22e5…a3a580receipts recorded from Elysium testnet RPC 2026-10-10 17:46 UTCRe-verify liveblock 6,809,747

Verifier

On Off

42est. score

creator verdict

NO-GO

Hard rule failed: Effective / raw holders is 0.16 (>= 0.75 required; hard limit 0.50).
Hard rule failed: Inflated volume share is 60.6% (<= 15.0% required; hard limit 35.0%).

What would change this

Needs +21 (now 9, estimated bar 30).
Needs +$2,195 (now $1,805, estimated bar $4,000).
Hard rule. Only 0.16 of raw holders are independent. Adding more linked wallets cannot fix this; only genuinely distinct holders can. Bar: 0.75.
Reduce by 1.0 pts (now 11.0%, estimated limit 10.0%).
Hard rule. Reduce by 45.6 pts (now 60.6%, estimated limit 15.0%).
Reduce by 54.3 pts (now 89.3%, estimated limit 35.0%).

Estimate based on public Ascend criteria (config 2026.10-estimate.1+testnet-scale). Not an official Ascend decision. Digest b4448c4ac5bd38db…

Raw holders56

Effective holders9

16% of raw holders are independent

Market cap

$400k

price × (supply − burn)

Organic vol / day

$1.8k

time-weighted, 7d

Top-10 share

42%

Inflated volume

61%

Plain-language summary

MIRT fails at least one hard integrity rule. 56 raw holders resolve to 9 effective holders. Hard rule failed: Effective / raw holders is 0.16 (>= 0.75 required; hard limit 0.50). Hard rule failed: Inflated volume share is 60.6% (<= 15.0% required; hard limit 35.0%).

Commentary is advisory. It can downgrade a verdict to WAIT or NO-GO but can never upgrade one; verdicts come from deterministic, versioned rules.

Score breakdown

Every rule, every number.

Thresholds live in a versioned config, are shown here, and are labelled estimates. Hard rules decide No-go on their own.

Rule	Measured	Estimated bar	Status
Market capitalization growth · weight 15%	$400k	>= $25.0k	Pass
Effective holders growth · weight 20%	9	>= 30	Below bar
Organic daily volume (time-weighted) growth · weight 15%	$1.8k	>= $4.0k	Below bar
Effective / raw holders integrity · weight 15%	0.16	>= 0.75 hard < 0.50	Hard fail
Top-10 holder share integrity · weight 10%	41.9%	<= 45.0% hard > 80.0%	Pass
Top-1 holder share integrity · weight 5%	11.0%	<= 10.0% hard > 25.0%	Below bar
Inflated volume share integrity · weight 15%	60.6%	<= 15.0% hard > 35.0%	Hard fail
Fresh-wallet share integrity · weight 5%	89.3%	<= 35.0% hard > 70.0%	Below bar

Holder concentration

Ascend checks for concentrated accumulation.

Top 1

11.0%

Top 5

33.8%

Top 10

41.9%

HHI

0.036

Gini

0.31

Holders

1
0x4cf0…a3c6
11.0%
2
0x7bee…08d4
9.4%
3
0x1fa9…da0c
6.3%
4
0x9556…32af
4.5%
5
0xbc3f…bb6e
2.6%
6
0xad8f…a22a
1.7%
7
0xa777…4f3d
1.6%
8
0xb28b…308f
1.6%
9
0x6c89…5ecd
1.6%
10
0xd3c0…460c
1.6%

Share of circulating supply. Pool and burn addresses are excluded.

Linked wallets

Wallets whose first funding traces to the same source, merged into effective holders.

Wallets linked by funding source (one operator pattern)Independent holders

Volume per unique wallet

Total volume split into organic and inflated, with volume per effective wallet over time. Time-weighted organic volume: $1.8k per day.

Organic volumeInflated (wash or coordinated wallets)Volume per effective wallet (peak $201)

Evidence

Published findings and receipts.

Open any finding to see the facts it cites and a copy-paste command that reproduces each one from chain state.

Holder concentration

Top-1 holds 11.0%, top-10 hold 41.9% of circulating supply across 56 holders (pool and burn excluded).

concentration@1.0.0published

Finding fnd_d13050698d4413 cited factsdigest 8dc2e3e3dc6f…JSON

Fact	Block	Reference	Re-fetched
call	6,809,747	0x18160ddd…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
call	6,809,747	0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
call	6,809,747	0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
call	6,809,747	0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
call	6,809,747	0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
call	6,809,747	0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
call	6,809,747	0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
call	6,809,747	0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
call	6,809,747	0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
call	6,809,747	0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
call	6,809,747	0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
call	6,809,747	0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
call	6,809,747	0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580)	identical

Funding-source clusters

50 wallets fall into 3 groups linked by a shared funding source within 2 hops.

funding-clusters@1.0.0published

Finding fnd_2df3cbc43fb015 cited factsdigest b6d561f397b8…JSON

Fact	Block	Reference	Re-fetched
call	6,809,747	0x18160ddd…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
tx	6,808,371	0xe4d54889…9d8dc8d2	identical
tx	6,808,234	0x7bc05f8a…52b31b1d	identical
tx	6,808,297	0xc84deaad…1b663b03	identical
tx	6,808,228	0xae322d2d…73cd3bcd	identical
tx	6,808,388	0x047a58e4…47c7bf0d	identical
tx	6,808,326	0x3fab85a0…50ec0167	identical
tx	6,808,246	0x46d677cd…2c585251	identical
tx	6,808,349	0x0d7b0bef…10702ffc	identical
tx	6,808,240	0xf5be0334…34c00bae	identical
tx	6,808,392	0xa3ffadd8…1bdbe5bb	identical
tx	6,808,318	0xdb127549…cfa9cc89	identical
tx	6,808,255	0x64a1a0f5…919dcbc8	identical
tx	6,808,352	0x15c8c000…4f7de94f	identical
tx	6,808,408	0xa963e93b…0acefbf7	identical

Same-block entry
No synchronized same-block entry batches detected.
same-block-entry@1.0.0published
Finding fnd_77e50188cbe01 cited factsdigest 40c2f91b801c…JSON
Fact Block Reference Re-fetched
call 6,809,747 0x18160ddd…(0x1b22…a580) identical
Wash loops and round trips
No round-trip or cyclic wallet flows detected.
wash-loops@1.0.0published
Finding fnd_5ec817ed55ae1 cited factsdigest 40c2f91b801c…JSON
Fact Block Reference Re-fetched
call 6,809,747 0x18160ddd…(0x1b22…a580) identical

Wallet age and activity

89.3% of holders are fresh wallets (≤3 lifetime transactions, funded shortly before first buy).

wallet-age@1.0.0published

Finding fnd_f8a0586d517623 cited factsdigest 27680ccda5b6…JSON

Fact	Block	Reference	Re-fetched
call	6,809,747	0x18160ddd…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0x0973f8…72cf05	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0x199b8d…6a37be	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0x3dc704…199a9f	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0x45f684…9ab1e7	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0x4be248…2370fd	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0x5570a3…2fad04	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0x605871…39f566	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0x691f97…7cfc98	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0x6fe7ed…df4880	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0x7a51f8…687137	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0x925f37…335054	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0xa0e447…a1b40c	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0xb1c25e…2dedb1	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0xb5eea4…e025c1	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0xd1bd96…9b4939	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0xe56186…b2aab9	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0x1fa997…9dda0c	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0x4cf0c7…6ba3c6	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0x7beeea…c608d4	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0x9556c8…ed32af	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0xad8f83…41a22a	identical
nonce	6,809,747	0xbc3f6a…7cbb6e	identical

Effective holders

56 raw holders collapse to 9 effective holders after merging linked wallets.

effective-holders@1.0.0published

Finding fnd_26242ba8c2c18 cited factsdigest 1fa42d140988…JSON

Fact	Block	Reference	Re-fetched
call	6,809,747	0x18160ddd…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
tx	6,808,371	0xe4d54889…9d8dc8d2	identical
tx	6,808,234	0x7bc05f8a…52b31b1d	identical
tx	6,808,297	0xc84deaad…1b663b03	identical
tx	6,808,228	0xae322d2d…73cd3bcd	identical
tx	6,808,388	0x047a58e4…47c7bf0d	identical
tx	6,808,326	0x3fab85a0…50ec0167	identical
tx	6,808,246	0x46d677cd…2c585251	identical

Volume per unique wallet

$4,585 traded; 60.6% attributable to wash or coordinated wallets. Time-weighted organic volume: $1,805/day.

volume-per-wallet@1.0.0published

Finding fnd_a15cf931e5a311 cited factsdigest 71de82a8fe5d…JSON

Fact	Block	Reference	Re-fetched
call	6,809,747	0x18160ddd…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
log	6,809,178	0xd1e2dc7d…8414cc2f	identical
log	6,809,221	0xd10d3f06…2a6fbd78	identical
log	6,809,229	0xd7f0e50b…e2f96dbd	identical
log	6,809,186	0xd376d16c…3aadfce2	identical
log	6,809,746	0x9726409c…923d0075	identical
log	6,809,213	0x85913306…9ee1eb7e	identical
log	6,809,195	0x654561f3…1fb5584d	identical
log	6,809,682	0x30e7c2ac…64c90171	identical
log	6,809,272	0x335aa9ce…4a5893cd	identical
log	6,809,663	0x2d904ea4…8d0e952b	identical

Market capitalization

Median of last 5 swaps prices the token at $0.000400; market cap ≈ $400,000.

market-cap@1.0.0published

Finding fnd_d685c9e9de9f7 cited factsdigest 9e7f3f7ac439…JSON

Fact	Block	Reference	Re-fetched
call	6,809,747	0x18160ddd…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
call	6,809,747	0x70a08231…(0x1b22…a580)	identical
log	6,809,673	0x8c9d4adb…925456c8	identical
log	6,809,682	0x30e7c2ac…64c90171	identical
log	6,809,690	0x34f0d38f…ee29f252	identical
log	6,809,739	0x23c80016…685dc810	identical
log	6,809,746	0x9726409c…923d0075	identical

Withheld

Claims we did not publish.

Findings that failed verification are listed openly, with the reason, instead of being quietly dropped.

Nothing withheld. Every finding for this token re-fetched identically.

Back-test

Planted versus found.

The pattern in this mock launch was planted by us, so the answer is known. Ascertain never sees it.

Raw holders

56planted 56

exact match

Effective holders

9planted 9

exact match

Linked groups

3planted 3

exact match

Wash wallets

0planted 0

exact match

Creator view

Lifecycle tracker and revenue planner

See where this token sits across Launch, Ascended, HyperCore spot and HIP-3, what is known and unknown at each stage, and model creator fee revenue and a listing reserve.

Open creator dashboard

Verified badge

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