HPL

HyperLend

HyperEVM · 999Real token · HyperEVM mainnet · replayExplorer ↗0xbd6dab…cac91breceipts recorded from HyperEVM RPC 2026-10-15 21:45 UTCblock 48,477,346

Verifier

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Partial analysis of a real token. Holder-integrity signals only: concentration over all 4,428 holders, funding links and wallet age for the top 1,000 by balance. Contracts holding supply (pools, vaults) are excluded as infrastructure. Volume and market-cap rules are not computed yet because each DEX needs its own swap adapter, so they show as unverified and the verdict cannot reach GO. Patterns are described, never intent. How this was checked.

88partial est.

creator verdict

WAIT

Top-10 holder share is 59.2%; estimated bar is <= 45.0%.
Top-1 holder share is 17.3%; estimated bar is <= 10.0%.
3 rules could not be verified (Market capitalization, Organic daily volume (time-weighted), Inflated volume share); a GO needs every rule backed by verified evidence.

What would change this

Reduce by 14.2 pts (now 59.2%, estimated limit 45.0%).
Reduce by 7.3 pts (now 17.3%, estimated limit 10.0%).

Estimate based on public Ascend criteria (config 2026.10-estimate.1). Not an official Ascend decision. Digest a57613a63a35fd66…

Raw holders4,428

Effective holders4,418

100% of raw holders are independent

Market cap

n/a

price × (supply − burn)

Organic vol / day

n/a

time-weighted, 7d

Top-10 share

59%

Inflated volume

n/a

Plain-language summary

HPL is not blocked by a hard rule, but it is not there yet. 4428 raw holders resolve to 4418 effective holders. Top-10 holder share is 59.2%; estimated bar is <= 45.0%. Top-1 holder share is 17.3%; estimated bar is <= 10.0%.

Commentary is advisory. It can downgrade a verdict to WAIT or NO-GO but can never upgrade one; verdicts come from deterministic, versioned rules.

Score breakdown

Every rule, every number.

Thresholds live in a versioned config, are shown here, and are labelled estimates. Hard rules decide No-go on their own.

Rule	Measured	Estimated bar	Status
Market capitalization growth · weight 15%	unverified	>= $250k	Unverified
Effective holders growth · weight 20%	4,418	>= 150	Pass
Organic daily volume (time-weighted) growth · weight 15%	unverified	>= $40.0k	Unverified
Effective / raw holders integrity · weight 15%	0.99	>= 0.75 hard < 0.50	Pass
Top-10 holder share integrity · weight 10%	59.2%	<= 45.0% hard > 80.0%	Below bar
Top-1 holder share integrity · weight 5%	17.3%	<= 10.0% hard > 25.0%	Below bar
Inflated volume share integrity · weight 15%	unverified	<= 15.0% hard > 35.0%	Unverified
Fresh-wallet share integrity · weight 5%	17.2%	<= 35.0% hard > 70.0%	Pass

Holder concentration

Ascend checks for concentrated accumulation.

Top 1

17.3%

Top 5

48.0%

Top 10

59.2%

HHI

0.059

Gini

0.98

Holders

4428

1
0xf2f1…8d86
17.3%
2
0xd65a…399d
9.7%
3
0x8177…26ba
8.5%
4
0x8250…2048
6.8%
5
0xbc43…e86b
5.7%
6
0x4878…4599
3.3%
7
0x6648…3d1c
2.9%
8
0x549e…0533
1.8%
9
0xeeba…3690
1.6%
10
0x2ddb…6d15
1.5%

Share of circulating supply. Pool and burn addresses are excluded.

Linked wallets

Wallets whose first funding traces to the same source, merged into effective holders.

Wallets linked by funding source (one operator pattern)Independent holders

Volume per unique wallet

Total volume split into organic and inflated, with volume per effective wallet over time.

The volume finding is not published (withheld or verifier off), so nothing is shown rather than an unverified number.

Evidence

Published findings and receipts.

Open any finding to see the facts it cites and a copy-paste command that reproduces each one from chain state.

Holder concentration

Top-1 holds 17.3%, top-10 hold 59.2% of circulating supply across 4428 holders (pool and burn excluded).

concentration@1.0.0published

Finding fnd_982eb89ff02f13 cited factsdigest dc23e115aca6…JSON

Fact	Block	Reference	Re-fetched
call	48,477,346	0x18160ddd…(0xbd6d…c91b)	identical	simulated
call	48,477,346	0x70a08231…(0xbd6d…c91b)	identical	simulated
call	48,477,346	0x70a08231…(0xbd6d…c91b)	identical	simulated
call	48,477,346	0x70a08231…(0xbd6d…c91b)	identical	simulated
call	48,477,346	0x70a08231…(0xbd6d…c91b)	identical	simulated
call	48,477,346	0x70a08231…(0xbd6d…c91b)	identical	simulated
call	48,477,346	0x70a08231…(0xbd6d…c91b)	identical	simulated
call	48,477,346	0x70a08231…(0xbd6d…c91b)	identical	simulated
call	48,477,346	0x70a08231…(0xbd6d…c91b)	identical	simulated
call	48,477,346	0x70a08231…(0xbd6d…c91b)	identical	simulated
call	48,477,346	0x70a08231…(0xbd6d…c91b)	identical	simulated
call	48,477,346	0x70a08231…(0xbd6d…c91b)	identical	simulated
call	48,477,346	0x70a08231…(0xbd6d…c91b)	identical	simulated

Funding-source clusters

13 wallets fall into 3 groups linked by a shared funding source within 2 hops.

funding-clusters@1.0.0published

Finding fnd_4f54d70ce36d10 cited factsdigest da7e0f9d947c…JSON

Fact	Block	Reference	Re-fetched
call	48,477,346	0x18160ddd…(0xbd6d…c91b)	identical	simulated
tx	5,239,343	0xdf146a2e…c4d3b04e	identical	simulated
tx	8,078,380	0x80671309…7f982a9f	identical	simulated
tx	4,424,106	0x03b32aa5…878de98f	identical	simulated
tx	4,989,364	0xe106c5a8…ea51d9bd	identical	simulated
tx	4,989,365	0xb2b95821…eb3418c5	identical	simulated
tx	4,989,361	0x8370cd21…14bc09b7	identical	simulated
tx	33,258,201	0xbab57325…232ddf39	identical	simulated
tx	45,646,653	0x1476dbd7…604a6571	identical	simulated
tx	27,248,309	0x9d71ff70…dfaa8d3e	identical	simulated

Wallet age and activity

17.2% of holders are fresh wallets (≤3 lifetime transactions, funded shortly before first buy).

wallet-age@1.0.0published

Finding fnd_b4898b98fd1024 cited factsdigest df598a32e232…JSON

Fact	Block	Reference	Re-fetched
call	48,477,346	0x18160ddd…(0xbd6d…c91b)	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0x009200…64b9e0	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0x135df8…4627ef	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0x20f6ee…dc860c	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0x322333…ede859	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0x496321…494378	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0x54d36e…9f171c	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0x652025…ec7342	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0x780fb7…b58616	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0x841746…da029d	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0x8c91ac…27f74a	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0x950318…43b3c0	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0xa805a6…7c0ea5	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0xb3bb23…8db7e3	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0xc7cd1e…1f28a7	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0xdde4e6…7d07ea	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0xee8153…4d7aba	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0x000000…651829	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0x20ee4c…52b565	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0x47fdd5…8c8457	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0x6ee31f…c52014	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0x9274a6…0d46e0	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0xb32715…63d3a6	identical	simulated
nonce	48,477,346	0xdafef7…d623a5	identical	simulated

Effective holders

4428 raw holders collapse to 4418 effective holders after merging linked wallets.

effective-holders@1.0.0published

Finding fnd_4e1a5a05e90a8 cited factsdigest c1dc0ad2adf9…JSON

Fact	Block	Reference	Re-fetched
call	48,477,346	0x18160ddd…(0xbd6d…c91b)	identical	simulated
tx	5,239,343	0xdf146a2e…c4d3b04e	identical	simulated
tx	8,078,380	0x80671309…7f982a9f	identical	simulated
tx	4,424,106	0x03b32aa5…878de98f	identical	simulated
tx	4,989,364	0xe106c5a8…ea51d9bd	identical	simulated
tx	4,989,365	0xb2b95821…eb3418c5	identical	simulated
tx	4,989,361	0x8370cd21…14bc09b7	identical	simulated
tx	33,258,201	0xbab57325…232ddf39	identical	simulated

Withheld

Claims we did not publish.

Findings that failed verification are listed openly, with the reason, instead of being quietly dropped.

Nothing withheld. Every finding for this token re-fetched identically.

Creator view

Lifecycle tracker and revenue planner

See where this token sits across Launch, Ascended, HyperCore spot and HIP-3, what is known and unknown at each stage, and model creator fee revenue and a listing reserve.

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Verified badge

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  <img src="https://ascertain.vercel.app/api/badge/HPL.svg" alt="Ascertain verdict" />
</a>

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